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12.Weather forecasting: www.bbc.com/news/business-29256322.
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13.The weather in your location today depends
:www.scholastic.com/teachers/article/weather.
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14.the more likely ones: These issues are discussed in Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2007),The Black Swan. New York: Random House.
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15.Gould quote: S. J. Gould (1989).Wonderful Life: The Burgess Shale and the Nature of History, 1st ed. New York: W. W. Norton, 320–321.
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第二章 我们为什么思考
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1.Borges quotes: J. L. Borges (1964). “Funes the Memorious.”Labyrinths: Selected Stories and Other Writings. Trans. James E. Irby. Ed. Donald A. Yates and James E. Irby. New York: New Directions, 59–66. Quotes from pp. 63–64. Story originally published in 1942.
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2.AJ: E. S. Parker, L. Cahill, and J. L. McGaugh (2006). “A Case of Unusual Autobiographical Remembering.”Neurocase12(1): 35–49.
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3.1-terabyte: aimblog.uoregon.edu/2014/07/08/a-terabyte-of-storage-space-how-much-is-too-much.
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4.National Public Radio: www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2013/12/18/255285479/when-memories-never-fade-the-past-can-poison-the-present.
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5.Paris japonica: J. Pellicer, M. F. Fay, and I. J. Leitch (2010). “The Largest Eukaryotic Genome of Them All?”Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society164(1): 10–15.
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6.Venus flytrap: A. G. Volkov, T. Adesina, V. S. Markin, and E. Jovanov (2008). “Kinetics and Mechanism ofDionaea muscipulaTrap Closing.”Plant Physiology146(2): 694–702.
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7.jellyfish: T. Katsuki and R. J. Greenspan (2013). “Jellyfish Nervous Systems.”Current Biology23(14): R592–R594.
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8.horseshoe crab numbers: news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/06/140617-horseshoe-crab-mating-delaware-bay-eastern-seaboard.
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9.Hartline: H. K. Hartline, H. G. Wagner, and F. Ratliff (1956). “Inhibition in the Eye of Limulus.”The Journal of General Physiology39(5): 651–673.
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10.Barlow: R. B. Barlow, L. C. Ireland, and L. Kass (1982). “Vision Has a Role inLimulusMating Behavior.”Nature296(5852): 65–66.
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11.Danny DeVito yearbook photo: i.imgur.com/njXUFGa.jpg.
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12.Face perception: D. Maurer, R. L. Grand, and C. J. Mondloch (2002). “The Many Faces of Configural Processing.”Trends in Cognitive Sciences6(6): 255–260.
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13.Humans can detect: N. D. Haig (1984). “The Effect of Feature Displacement on Face Recognition.”Perception13(5): 505–512.
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第三章 我们如何思考
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1.Pavlov’s bell: There’s been some dispute about whether he actually used a bell, a dispute that seems to have been resolved in his favor by R. Thomas (1994). “Pavlov’s Dogs ‘Dripped Saliva at the Sound of a Bell.’ ”Psycoloquy5(80).
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2.one of Garcia’s studies: J. Garcia and R. A. Koelling (1966). “Relation of Cue to Consequence in Avoidance Learning.”Psychonomic Science4(1): 123–124.
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3.Modus ponensand causal considerations: D. D. Cummins, T. Lubart, O. Alksnis, and R. Rist (1991). “Conditional Reasoning and Causation.”Memory & Cognition19(3): 274–282.
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4.We excel at casual analysis: An introduction to this literature can be found in B. F. Malle and J. Korman (2013). “Attribution Theory.” In ed. D. S. Dunn,Oxford Bibliographies in Psychology. New York: Oxford University Press.
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5.Reasoning backward: See, for example, A. Tversky and D. Kahneman (1978). “Causal Schemata in Judgments Under Uncertainty.”Progress in Social Psychology. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum.
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6.error in predictive reasoning: P. M. Fernbach, A. Darlow, and S. A. Sloman (2011). “Asymmetries in Predictive and Diagnostic Reasoning.”Journal of Experimental Psychology: General140(2): 168–185; P. M. Fernbach, A. Darlow, and S. A. Sloman (2010). “Neglect of Alternative Causes in Predictive but Not Diagnostic Reasoning.”Psychological Science21(3): 329–336.
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