1701563086
21.within 1 percent of the ox’s true weight of 1,198 pounds: Despite frequent reports saying otherwise, he did not find that the mean weight was within 1 pound of the ox’s true weight. Nor did he find that the average was better than any individual guess.
1701563087
1701563088
22.prediction market: K. J. Arrow, R. Forsythe, M. Gorham, R. Hahn, R. Hanson, J. O. Ledyard, S. Levmore, et al. (2008). “The Promise of Prediction Markets.”Science320(5878): 877–878.
1701563089
1701563090
第八章 科学的错觉
1701563091
1701563092
1.a giant sledgehammer: smithsonianmag.com/history/what-the-luddites-really-fought-against-264412/?all.
1701563093
1701563094
2.increasingly bizarre: Ibid.
1701563095
1701563096
3.James Inhofe’s snowball: washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/02/26/jim-inhofes-snowball-has-disproven-climate-change-once-and-for-all.
1701563097
1701563098
4.Inhofe quote: nytimes.com/2003/08/05/science/politics-reasserts-itself-in-the-debate-over-climate-change-and-its-hazards.html.
1701563099
1701563100
5.cases of measles spiked: cdc.gov/measles/cases-outbreaks.html.
1701563101
1701563102
6.10 percent of parents: dailycamera.com/news/ci_19848081.
1701563103
1701563104
7.doctors are not to be trusted: www.thehealthyhomeeconomist.com/six-reasons-to-say-no-to-vaccination.
1701563105
1701563106
8.increase to about 70 percent: These results are summarized in the 2014 version of the Science and Engineering Indicators report.
1701563107
1701563108
9.MMR vaccine: B. Nyhan, J. Reifler, S. Richey, and G. L. Freed (2014). “Effective Messages in Vaccine Promotion: A Randomized Trial.”Pediatrics133(4): e835–e842.
1701563109
1701563110
10.Science Mike: kernelmag.dailydot.com/issue-sections/headline-story/14304/science-mike-mystical-experience-podcast.
1701563111
1701563112
11.Science Mike quote
:mikemchargue.com/blog/2015/1/11/new-podcast-ask- science-mike.
1701563113
1701563114
12.“Earth revolves around the Sun”: www.techtimes.com/articles/3493/20140216/dumb-101-1-in-4-americans-is-ignorant-that-earth-revolves-around-the-sun.htm.
1701563115
1701563116
13.consume more pharmaceuticals: V. Ilyuk, L. Block, and D. Faro (2014). “Is It Still Working? Task Difficulty Promotes a Rapid Wear-Off Bias in Judgments of Pharmacological Products.”Journal of Consumer Research41(3): 775–793.
1701563117
1701563118
14.AAAS conclusion: Statement by the AAAS Board of Directors on Labeling of Genetically Modified Foods. American Association for the Advancement of Science, October 20, 2012. www.aaas.org/sites/default/files/AAAS_GM_statement.pdf.
1701563119
1701563120
15.European Commission conclusion: A Decade of EU-funded GMO Research, 2001–2010. European Commission: Food, Agriculture and Fisheries, Biotechnology. ec.europa.eu/research/biosociety/pdf/a_decade_of_eu-funded_gmo_research.pdf.
1701563121
1701563122
16.Florida orange crop: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/28/science/a-race-to-save-the-orange-by-altering-its-dna.html?page- wanted=all&_r=0.
1701563123
1701563124
17.sunlight cannot get stuck in a window: Y. Zheng, L. E. Bolton, and J. W. Alba (working paper). “How Things Work: Production Matters in Technology Acceptance.”
1701563125
1701563126
18.oversimplification of how the immune system works: www.health.harvard.edu/staying-healthy/how-to-boost-your-immune-system.
1701563127
1701563128
19.antibodies that target specific infections: www.biologymad.com/resources/Immunity%20Revision.pdf.
1701563129
1701563130
20.Generalized versus specific immunity: This idea was inspired by a conversation with Joanna Arch.
1701563131
1701563132
21.global warming in a short video: www.howglobalwarming works.org/.
1701563133
1701563134
第九章 政治的错觉
1701563135
[
上一页 ]
[ :1.701563086e+09 ]
[
下一页 ]