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[341]Stephen M.Walt, The Hell of Good Intentions:America’s Foreign Poli-cy Elite and the Decline of U.S.Primacy(New York:Farrar, Straus and Giroux,2018),chap.3.也可参见Christopher Layne,“The US Foreign Policy Estab-lishment and Grand Strategy:How American Elites Obstruct Adjustment,”Inter-national Politics 54,no.3(May 2017):260—275;Kevin Narizny, The Political Economy of Grand Strategy(Ithaca, NY:Cornell University Press,2007)。
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[342]现实主义有两种基本形式:人性和结构。此处提出的理论显然属于后一类,因为它强调国际体系的总体设计导致国家追求权力。另一方面,对于人性现实主义者而言,国家想要权力很大程度上是因为大多数人天生就有一种内在的权力意志,这实际上意味着国家是由个人领导的,他们致力于使本国支配其竞争对手。例如,汉斯·摩根索(Hans Morgenthau)认为个人有一种强烈的敌意,这是人类行为和国家行为背后的驱动力。Hans J.Morgenthau, Scien-tific Man vs.Power Politics(London:Latimer House,1947),pp.165—167.也可参见Hans J.Morgenthau, Politics among Nations,5th ed.(New York:Knopf,1973),pp.34—35.对于现实主义者而言,权力本身主要就是一个目的,而不是生存的手段,就像结构现实主义者那样。然而,人性现实主义者确实将生存逻辑融入他们的叙事中,这在很大程度上是因为国家在充满具有侵略性和潜在危险的邻国的世界中运行,它们别无选择,只能担心它们的生存,即使它们的最终目标是为了自身利益而获得权力。关于美国现实主义思想的演变,参见Nicolas Guilhot, After the Enlightenment:Political Realism and Inter-national Relations in the Mid-twentieth Century(New York:Cambridge University Press,2017);Brian C.Schmidt, The Political Discourse of Anarchy:A Discipli-nary History of International Relations(Albany, NY:State University of New York Press,1998)。
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[343]下面关于现实主义的讨论大量借鉴了Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, pp.29—54,363—365。
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[344]Sebastian Rosato,“The Inscrutable Intentions of Great Powers,”Inter-national Security 39,no.3(Winter 2014/2015):48—88.
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[345]Joseph M.Parent and Sebastian Rosato,“Balancing in Neorealism,”In-ternational Security 40,no.2(Fall 2015):51—86.
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[346]引自Evan Luard, Basic Texts in International Relations:The Evolution of Ideas about International Society(London:Macmillan,1992),p.166。
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[347]没有一个国家能够成为全球霸主,主要是因为地理条件的限制。地球的绝对规模,再加上一些巨大海洋的存在,使得主导它的全部是不可能的。一个国家至多是希望成为一个地区霸主,这意味着主导世界中自己所在的地区。例如,美国自19世纪末以来一直是西半球的一个地区霸主。进一步阐述参见Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, pp.40—42。正如下面所讨论的,排除全球霸权的相同因素使世界国家变为不可能。
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[348]Robert B.Strassler, ed.,The Landmark Thucydides:A Comprehensive Guide to the Peloponnesian War(New York:Simon&Schuster,1998).
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[349]Markus Fischer,“Feudal Europe,800—1300:Communal Discourse and Conflictual Practices,”International Organization 46,no.2(Spring 1992):427—466.
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[350]Steven Pinker, The Better Angels of Our Nature:Why Violence Has De-clined(NewYork:Viking,2011),p.55.
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[351]Thomas Hobbes, Leviathan, ed.C.B.Macpherson(Harmondsworth, UK:Penguin,1986),p.186.
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[352]正如前一章所强调的,自由主义的一个主要弱点是它把生活在一个国家里的人视为原子论的个体,而实际上,他们本质上是社会存在的。然而,这种弱点不适用于国际层次,因为各国在任何意义上都不是社会实体。它们是以自我为核心的个体政治行为体。当然,这正是现实主义对待国家的方式,这有助于解释为什么在国际体系中按照自由主义指令行事的国家,最终以均势的逻辑行事。
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[353]Charles L.Glaser, Rational Theory of International Politics:The Logic of Competition and Cooperation(Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press,2010),pp.38—39;Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, pp.31,363;Rosato,“The Inscrutable Intentions of Great Powers,”pp.52—53.
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[354]John Locke, The Second Treatise of Government(Indianapolis:Bobbs-Merrill,1952),p.83.
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[355]Stephen Holmes, Passions and Constraint:On the Theory of Liberal De-mocracy(Chicago:University of Chicago Press,1997),p.39.
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[356]Deborah Boucoyannis,“The International Wanderings of a Liberal Idea, or Why Liberals Can Learn to Stop Worrying and Love the Balance of Power,”Perspectives on Politics 5,no.4(December 2007):708;G.Lowes Dickinson, The European Anarchy(New York:Macmillan,1916).
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[357]对于自由主义在国内和国际层次上的区别的不同看法,参见Charles R.Beitz, Political Theory and International Relations(Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press,1979);Hidemi Suganami, The Domestic Analogy and World Order Proposals(New York:Cambridge University Press,1989)。
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[358]Monteiro, Theory of Unipolar Politics, chap.3.
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[359]这并不是否认一些多民族国家内部应享有同样权利的构成民族不平等地对待彼此。但在许多情况下,这不是一个重大问题,不同的民族在一个更大的民族国家的背景下相处得很好。
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[360]引自Gerald N.Rosenberg,“Much Ado about Nothing?The Emptiness of Rights’Claims in the Twenty-First Century United States,”in“Revisiting Rights,”ed.Austin Sarat, special issue, Studies in Law, Politics, and Society(Bingley, UK:Emerald Group,2009),p.20。
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[361]Michael Barnett, Eyewitness to a Genocide:The United Nations and Rwanda(Ithaca, NY:Cornell University Press,2002),pp.12—13,34—39,68,85,116—117,163;Samantha Power,“A Problem from Hell”:America and the Age of Genocide(New York:Basic Books,2002),pp.366—367,374—375.
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[362]Scott D.Sagan and Benjamin A.Valentino,“Use of Force:The American Public and the Ethics of War,”Open Democracy, July 2,2015,https://www.opendemocracy.net/openglobalrights/scott-d-sagan-benjamin-val-entino/use-of-force-american-public-and-ethics-of-war.
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[363]Julia Hirschfeld Davis,“After Beheading of Steven Sotloff, Obama Pledges to Punish ISIS,”New York Times, September 3,2014;White House Press Office,“Statement by the President on ISIL,”September 10,2014.
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[364]John Tirman, The Deaths of Others:The Fate of Civilians in America’s Wars(New York:Oxford University Press,2011),pp.295—302.也可参见Michal R.Belknap, The Vietnam War on Trial:The My Lai Massacre and the Court-Martial of Lieutenant Calley(Lawrence:University Press of Kansas,2002);Kendrick Oliver, The My Lai Massacre in American History and Memory(Manchester, UK:Manchester University Press,2006)。
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[365]John Mueller, War and Ideas:Selected Essays(New York:Routledge,2011),p.174.
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