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[18]Ofek and Richardson, “DotCom Mania.”
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[19]在一项研究中发现,公司股票上市之初,分析师的追捧会提高投资人的初期回报,参见Raghuram Rajan and Henri Servaes, “Analyst Following of Initial Public Offerings,” Journal of Finance 52 (1997): 507-529。
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[20]Ofek and Richardson, “DotCom Mania.”
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[21]参见Barbara Donnelly and Michael Sesit, “U.S. Bears Bets May Roil Japan’s Turmoil,” Wall Street Journal, April 17, 1990。更广泛地说,某只股票引入卖空期权会导致该股票的市场价格下降5%,参见Sorin Sorescu, “The Effect of Options on Stock Prices: 1973-1995,” Journal of Finance 55 (2000): 487-514。
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[22]R. Wermers, “Mutual Fund Herding and the Impact on Stock Prices,” Journal of Finance 54, no. 2 (1999): 584.
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[23]Judy Chevalier and Glenn Ellison, “Risk Taking by Mutual Funds as a Response to Incentives,” Journal of Political Economy 105, no. 6 (December 1997): 1167-1200.
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[24]Randall Morck, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny, “The Stock Market and Investment: Is the Market a Sideshow?” Brookings Paper on Economic Activity 2 (1990): 157-202.
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[25]Oliver Blanchard, Changyong Rhee, and Lawrence Summers, “The Stock Market, Profit, and Investments,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 108 (1990): 115-137.
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[26]同上。
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[27]James Poterba对下文的评论:“The Stock Market and Investment: Is the Market a Sideshow?” Brookings Paper on Economic Activity 2 (1990): 208-213.
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[28]参见www.globalfindata.com。
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[29]所有的非住宅投资数据,参见 Council of Economic Advisers, Economic Report of the President, 2002, 342。2002年全年的数据是根据前3个季度估算的。
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[30]Nicholas George, “Sonera Abandons 3G Plans and Returns License,” Financial Times, August 10, 2001.
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[31]Dan Roberts, “Glorious Hopes on a Trillion-Dollar Scrapheap,” Financial Times, September 5, 2001。
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[32]其中,8090亿美元来自银团贷款,4150亿美元来自债券市场,5000亿美元来自私募和公开股票发售,参见Roberts, “Glorious Hopes”。
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[33]G. Kaminsky and C. Reinhart, “The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance of Payments Problems,” American Economic Review 89 (1999): 473-500.
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第5章
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[1]Kenneth Sokoloff and Stanley L. Engerman, “Institutions, Factor Endowments and Paths of Development in the New World,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 3 (2000): 217-232.
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[2]经济学家Raymond Goldsmith研究了35个国家在1860~1963年期间的有关数据,得出了非常谨慎的结论,“从这几十年的时间跨度上看,经济发展和金融发展之间存在粗略的对应关系”,“一些国家的数据记录一致显示,在经济增长更快速的时期金融产业的发展速度也高于平均水平”。参见Raymond Goldsmith, Financial Structure and Development (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1969), 48。
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[3]或者像剑桥大学的经济学家琼·罗宾逊(Joan Robinson)所说的,“企业走到哪里,金融就跟到哪里。”
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[4]R. King and R. Levine, “Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 108 (1993): 734.
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[5]同上。
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[6]R. Rajan and L. Zingales, “Financial Dependence and Growth,” American Economic Review 88, no. 3 (1998): 559-586.
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[7]J. Jayaratne and P. Strahan, “Entry Restrictions, Industry Evolution and Dynamic Efficiency: Evidence from Commercial Banking,” Journal of Law and Economics 41, no. 1 (1998): 239-273.
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[8]S. Black and P. Strahan, “The Division of Spoils: Rent-Sharing and Discrimination in a Regulated Industry,” American Economic Review 91, no. 4 (2001): 814-831.
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