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随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 ROBUSTNESS AND FRAGILITY
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You are only secure if you can lose your fortune without the additional worse insult of having to become humble.
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To test someone’s robustness to reputational errors, ask a man in front of an audience if he is “still doing poorly” or if he is “still losing money” and watch his reaction.
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Robustness is progress without impatience.
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When conflicted between two choices, take neither.
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Nation-states like war; city-tates like commerce; families like stability; and individuals like entertainment.
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Robust is when you care more about the few who like your work than the multitude who dislike it (artists); fragile when you care more about the few who dislike your work than the multitude who like it (politicians).
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The rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society; the empiricist an imbecile-proof one, or, even better, a rationalist-proof one.
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Academics are only useful when they try to be useless (say, as in mathematics and philosophy) and dangerous when they try to be useful.
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For the robust, an error is information; for the fragile, an error is an error.
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The best test of robustness to reputational damage is your emotional state (fear, joy, boredom) when you get an email from a journalist.
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The main disadvantage of being a writer, particularly in Britain, is that there is nothing you can do in public or private that would da mage your reputation.
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Passionate hate (by nations and individuals) ends by rotation to another subject of hate; mediocrity cannot handle more than one enemy. This makes warring statelings with shifting alliances and enmities a robust system.
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I find it inconsistent (and corrupt) to dislike big government while favoring big business—but (alas) not the reverse.
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How often have you arrived one, three, or six hours late on a transatlantic flight as opposed to one, three , or six hours early? This explains why deficits tend to be larger, rarely smaller, than planned.
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随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 竞技谬论和场地依赖(1)
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体育是商品化的、卖淫式的随机性。
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当你在肉体上战胜了一个人时,你得到了锻炼,缓解了压力;当你在网上攻击他时,只不过是在损害你自己。
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平整的地面、竞技体育和专项工作会让头脑和身体变成化石,同样,竞技式的学术会让灵魂变成化石。
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他们承认象棋训练只能提高下象棋的技能,却不承认课堂训练(几乎)只能提高课堂技能。
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那个人抵达旅馆的时候让服务员替他搬行李,后来我看见他在健身房里举重锻炼。
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比赛被创造出来是为了让普通人产生胜利的幻觉。在真实生活中,你不知道谁真正赢了,谁真正输了(除非是在为时已晚的时候);但你知道谁是普通人,谁不是。
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我怀疑智商、高考和学校测验分数是书呆子发明出来的,这样他们可以得到高分,显示自己的聪明。(2)
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