打字猴:1.701710555e+09
1701710555 随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 [:1701708999]
1701710556 随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 EPISTEMOLOGY AND SUBTRACTIVE KNOWLEDGE
1701710557
1701710558 Since Plato, Western thought and the theory of knowledge have focused on the notions of True-False; as commendable as it was, it is high time to shift the concern to Robust-Fragile, and social epistemology to the more serious problem of Sucker-Nonsucker.
1701710559
1701710560 The problem of knowledge is that there are many more books on birds written by ornithologists than books on birds written by birds and books on ornithologists written by birds.
1701710561
1701710562 The perfect sucker understands that pigs can stare at pearls, but doesn’t realize he can be in an analog situation.
1701710563
1701710564 It takes extraordinary wisdom and self-control to accept that many things have a logic we do not understand that is smarter than our own.
1701710565
1701710566 Knowledge is subtractive, not additive; what we subtract (reduction by what does not work, what not to do), not what we add (what to do).
1701710567
1701710568 They think that intelligence is about noticing things that are relevant (detecting patterns); in a complex world, intelligence consists in ignoring things that are irrelevant (avoiding false patterns).
1701710569
1701710570 Happiness; we don’t know what it means, how to measure it, and how to reach it; but we know extremely well how to avoid unhappiness.
1701710571
1701710572 The imagination of the genius vastly surpasses his intellect; the intellect of the academic vastly surpasses his imagination.
1701710573
1701710574 The ideal trivium education, and the least harmful one to society, would be mathematics, logic, and Latin; a double dose of Latin authors to compensate for the severe loss of wisdom that comes from mathematics; just enough mathematics and logic to control verbiage and rhetoric.
1701710575
1701710576 The four most influential moderns: Darwin, Marx, Freud, and (the productive) Einstein were scholars but not academics. It has always been hard to do genuine work within institutions.
1701710577
1701710578
1701710579
1701710580
1701710581 随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 [:1701709000]
1701710582 随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 预言的丑闻
1701710583
1701710584 先知不是具有特殊预见力的人,只不过是对别人看到的绝大多数东西视而不见的人。
1701710585
1701710586 对古人来说,预言历史事件是对(诸)神的亵渎;对我来说,这是对人类的亵渎—对有些人来说,是对科学的亵渎。
1701710587
1701710588 古人很清楚,理解事件的唯一方式就是促成它们发生。
1701710589
1701710590 任何作出预言或者表达意见而不必承担风险的人,都有些虚伪的意味。除非他会跟着船一起沉下去,否则这就像是看一场冒险电影。
1701710591
1701710592 要让他们更加严肃地看待预报内容,可以告诉他们,在闪米特人的语言里,“预报”和“预言”是同一个词。
1701710593
1701710594 塞涅卡认为,斯多葛学派的智者在国家腐败到无可挽回、自己的努力没有效果时就应该退隐。等待社会自我毁灭是更明智的做法。
1701710595
1701710596
1701710597
1701710598
1701710599 随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 [:1701709001]
1701710600 随机生存的智慧:黑天鹅语录 THE SCANDAL OF PREDICTION
1701710601
1701710602 A prophet is not someone with special visions, just someone blind to most of what others see.
1701710603
1701710604 For the ancients, forecasting historical events was an insult to the God (s); for me, it is an insult to man—that is, for some, to science.
[ 上一页 ]  [ :1.701710555e+09 ]  [ 下一页 ]