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(1)当Ni+1 >Ni时,则有Ni+2 >Ni+1 ,最终R方获胜。
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(2)当Ni+1 =Ni时,则有Ni+2 =Ni+1 =Ni,最终双方战成平局。
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1700146310
(3)当Ni+1 <Ni时,则有Ni+2 <Ni+1 ,最终B方获胜。
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1700146312
首先我们来证明(2)。
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1700146314
当Ni+1 =Ni时,根据战争循环因果序列,可有:
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1700146316
Pi+1 /Qi+1 =Pi/Qi
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1700146318
即(Pi-Eb Qi)/(Qi-Er Pi)=Pi/Qi
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上式整理后可得:Eb/Er=(Pi/Qi)2=Ni2
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即Eb=Er Ni2
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而Ni+2 =Pi+2 /Qi+2 =(Pi+1 -Eb Qi+1 )/(Qi+1 -Er Pi+1 )
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=(Pi-Eb Qi-Eb(Qi-Er Pi))/(Qi-Er Pi-Er(Pi-Eb Qi))
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=(Pi+Pi Eb Er-2 Eb Qi)/(Qi+Qi Eb Er-2 Er Pi)
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1700146330
将Eb=Er Ni2代入上式,然后可得:
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1700146332
1700146333
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下面再来证明(1)式。
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Ni+2 =Pi+2 /Qi+2 =(Pi+1 -Eb Qi+1 )/(Qi+1 -Er Pi+1 )
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=(Ni+1 -Eb)/(1-Er Ni+1 )
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同理:
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Ni+1 =(Ni-Eb)/(1-Er Ni)
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因为Ni+1 >Ni
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所以Ni+1 -Eb>Ni-Eb>0
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且0<1-Er Ni+1 <1-Er Ni
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因此(Ni+1 -Eb)/(1-Er Ni+1 )>(Ni-Eb)/(1-Er Ni)
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故Ni+2 >Ni+1
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