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1701710770
What makes us fragile is that institutions cannot have the same virtues (honor, truthfulness, courage, loyalty, tenacity) as individuals.
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1701710772
The worst damage has been caused by competent people trying to do good; the best improvements have been brought by incompetent ones not trying to do good.
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1701710774
The difference between banks and the Mafia: banks have better legal-regulatory expertise, but the Mafia understands public opinion.
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1701710776
“It is much easier to scam people for billions than for just millions”.
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1701710778
At a panel in Moscow, I watched the economist Edmund Phelps, who got the “Nobel” for writings no one reads, theories no one uses, and lectures no one understands.
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1701710780
One of the failures of “scientific approximation” in the nonlinear domain comes from the inconvenient fact that the average of expectations is different from the expectation of averages.
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1701710782
Journalists as reverse aphorists: my statement “You need skills to get a BMW, skills plus luck to become a Warren Buffett” was summarized as “Taleb says Buffett has no skills”.
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1701710784
The curious mind embraces science; the gifted and sensitive, the arts; the practical, business; the leftover becomes an economist.
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1701710786
Public companies, like human cells, are programmed for apoptosis, suicide through debt and hidden risks. Bailouts invest the process with a historical dimension.
1701710787
1701710788
In poor countries, officials receive explicit bribes; in D.C. they get the sophisticated implicit, unspoken promise to work for large corporations.
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1701710790
Fate is at its cruelest when a banker ends up in poverty.
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1701710792
We should make students recompute their GPAs by counting their grades in finance and economics backward.
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1701710794
The agency problem drives every company, thanks to the buildup of hidden risks, to maximal fragility.
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1701710796
In politics we face the choice between warmongering, nation-stateloving, big-business agents on one hand; and risk-blind, top-down, epistemic arrogant big servants of large employers on the other. But we have a choice.
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1701710798
1701710799
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1701710802
随机生存的智慧：黑天鹅语录 贤者、弱者和伟大者(1)
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1701710804
普通人往往会为小的冒犯所激怒，但却在大的冒犯面前保持沉默，无动于衷。(2)
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1701710806
主导者的唯一定义是：如果你努力试图成为主导者，那你永远也成不了主导者。
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1701710808
那些没什么要证明的人，从来不说他们没什么要证明。
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1701710810
弱者展示力量，掩饰弱点；伟大者展示弱点，就像展示饰品一样。
1701710811
1701710812
要是能变得睿智而又不无聊该有多好，变得无聊却又不睿智是多么糟糕。(3)
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1701710814
让我尊重的特质包括博学，以及在别人顾忌名誉的场合挺身而出的勇气。任何白痴都可以很聪明。
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1701710816
普通人更容易为说出的话而不是沉默后悔，比较杰出的人更容易为沉默而不是说出的话后悔，伟大者没什么可后悔的。
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1701710818
只要请普通人吃若干顿饭，他就会替华盛顿的美联储撒谎、偷窃、杀人甚至卖命；伟大者永远不会。
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