打字猴:1.70296491e+09

1702964910

1702964911 [1] Lester Thurow,The Zero Sum Solution(New York:Simon&Schuster,1985),p.67.

1702964912

1702964913 [2] Kenneth Waltz,cited in Nuno P.Monteiro,Theory of Unipolar Politics(New York:Cambridge University Press,2014),p.29.

1702964914

1702964915 [3] Herbert Block,The Planetary Product in1980(Washington,DC:Department of State,1981),p.74;Simon Kuznets,Economic Growth and Structure(New York:W.W.Norton,1965),p.144.

1702964916

1702964917 [4] Chris Giles,“China to overtake US as top economic power this year,“Financial Times,April30,2014.

1702964918

1702964919 [5] “Balance of power”is used to refer both to the distribution of power resources-military,economic,soft-among states,and to the policy of states acting to prevent any one country becoming so powerful as to pose a threat to the independence of others.

1702964920

1702964921 [6] Michael Lind,“The American Century is over:How our country went down in a blaze of shame,“Salon,July12,2014.

1702964922

1702964923 [7] Alan Brinkley,The Publisher:Henry Luce and His American Century(New York:Knopf,2010),pp.266-273.

1702964924

1702964925 [8] Charles Kupchan,No-One’s World:The West,the Rising Rest,and the Coming Global Turn(New York:Oxford University Press,2012),p.84.

1702964926

1702964927 [9] See Paul Kennedy,The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers:Economic Change and Military Conflict Among the Great Powers from1500to2000(New York:Random House,1987),pp.154,203.See also Bruce Russett,“The mysterious case of vanishing hegemony,“International Organization39,Spring1985,p.212.

1702964928

1702964929 [10] Corelli Barnett,The Collapse of British Power(Atlantic Highlands,NJ:Humanities Press International,1986),p.72.

1702964930

1702964931 [11] Richard Ned Lebow and Benjamin Valentino,“Lost in transition:A critical analysis of power transition theory,“International Relations23/2,2009,p.389.

1702964932

1702964933 [12] G.John Ikenberry,Liberal Order and Imperial Ambition(Cambridge:Polity,2006)p.14.

1702964934

1702964935 [13] Robert O.Keohane,After Hegemony:Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy(Princeton:Princeton University Press,1984).

1702964936

1702964937 [14] Amitav Acharya,The End of American World Order(Cambridge:Polity,2014).

1702964938

1702964939 [15] Henry Kissinger,World Order(New York:Penguin,2014),p.2.

1702964940

1702964941 [16] Acharya,The End of American World Order,p.11.

1702964942

1702964943 [17] Noam Chomsky,“Losing the world:American decline in perspective,part1,“Guardian,February14,2012.

1702964944

1702964945

1702964946

1702964947

1702964948 美国世纪结束了吗？ [:1702964592]

1702964949 美国世纪结束了吗？第二章　美国在衰落吗？

1702964950

1702964951 相信美国将永远握有世界实力的主导份额是违背常理和历史的。但是，一个国家的生命周期是什么？政治实体是一种社会结构，它没有明确的寿命，不像人类的肌体，一般来说一个世纪是极限（尽管科学终将多少延续这个极限）。当你看着一个人时，通常可以判断他是否在衰老，尽管这取决于你专注于哪项功能。例如，运动技能相对于精神敏锐。关于国家的数据是难以测量的，而时间的跨度可能更长。罗马在公元117年达到了鼎盛，而西罗马帝国直到大约三个半世纪后才崩溃，东罗马帝国则一直持续到了1453年。

1702964952

1702964953

1702964954

1702964955

1702964956 美国世纪结束了吗？ [:1702964593]

1702964957 美国世纪结束了吗？历史的经验教训

1702964958

1702964959 尽管存在着这样那样的问题，一些分析家和历史学家们仍试图追寻一个拥有支配性地位的国家的主导权兴衰的历史周期模式。1919年，英国地缘政治家哈尔福德·麦金德爵士①认为，国家间不平等的扩大大约每一百年会导致一场争霸世界的战争。最近，政治学家乔治·莫德尔斯基②提出了改变世界领导地位的百年周期：通常以大规模的战争开场，随后是胜利者凭借权力制定战后和平条约将这种权力加以合法化，而这一权力最终将受到挑战而衰退。

[ 上一页 ] [ :1.70296491e+09 ] [ 下一页 ]