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② 约翰·米尔斯海默（John J.Mear-sheimer）：芝加哥大学政治学教授、国际安全政策项目主任，美国国际关系的著名学者之一，《纽约时报》《新共和》《大西洋月刊》的特约撰稿人。进攻性现实主义的代言人。进攻性现实主义认为，国际体系的无政府状态决定了安全的稀缺性，为获取安全而展开的激烈竞争迫使国家采取进攻性的战略，结果便常常导致冲突和战争。大国被迫最大化地扩充它们的相对权力，因为这是获得最大安全的最佳途径。——译者注
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③ 乔纳森·芬比（Jonathan Fenby）：英国著名中国问题专家，伦敦《观察家》以及香港《南中国早邮报》的前编辑，曾就职于《经济学人》《卫报》《独立报》及路透社。——译者注
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④ “中等收入陷阱”：指当一个国家的人均收入达到中等水平后，由于不能顺利实现经济发展方式的转变，导致经济增长动力不足，最终出现经济停滞的一种状态。——译者注
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⑤ 伦敦国际战略研究所（The International Institute for Strategic Studies）：英国智库，任务是研究核时代日益复杂的安全问题。——译者注
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⑥ 马丁·雅克（Martin Jacques）：LSE IDEAS的高级客座研究员，同时也是伦敦经济学院亚洲研究中心客座研究员，中国人民大学访问学者。曾在京都立命馆大学、新加坡国立大学任教，创办英国智库Demos，亦有丰富的新闻从业经历，做过《泰晤士报》《星期日泰晤士报》《卫报》和《新政治家》的专栏作家，以及《独立报》副总编辑。——译者注
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[1] Niall Ferguson,quoted in Jonathan Fenby,Will China Dominate the21st Century?(Cambridge
:Polity,2014),p.13.See also Martin Jacques,When China Rules the World(New York
:Penguin,2009).
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[2] “American Opinion,“Wall Street Journal,September16,1999,p.A9.
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[3] See Joseph Nye,“As China rises,must others bow?“The Economist,June27,1998,p.23.
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[4] John Mearsheimer,The Tragedy of Great Power Politics(New York,W.W.Norton,2001),p.4.
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[6] Fenby,Will China Dominate the21st Century?p.26.
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[7] “Living up to the title,“Beijing Review,May22,2014,p.2;Daniel Gross,“Yes we can still market
:Why US brands remain the world’s most valuable,“The Daily Beast,June1,2014.
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[8] Alexandra Raphel,“American economic power in decline?Rethinking the data in the context of globalization,“Journalist’s Resource,February11,2014.
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[9] Neil Irwin,“This one number explains how China is taking over the world,“Washington Post.com,December3,2013;“The once and future currency,“The Economist,March8,2014,p.80.
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[10] South Reviews editorial,reprinted in Beijing Review,March27,2014,p.10.
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[11] Toshiya Tsugami,“The future growth of China and security in East Asia,“paper presented to SPF-CSIS Joint Commission on the US-Japan Alliance,June24,2013.
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[12] Sam Roberts,“In2025,India to pass China in population,US estimates,“New York Times,December16,2009.
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[13] Richard McGregor,The Party
:The Secret World of China’s Communist Rulers(New York
:Harper Collins,2010),p.30.
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[14] James Steinberg and Michael O’Hanlon,Strategic Reassurance and Resolve
:US-China Relations in the Twenty-First Century(Princeton
:Princeton University Press,2014),pp.93,184.
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[15] Evan Braden Montgomery,“Contested primacy in the Western Pacific,“International Security38,Spring2014,pp.115-149.
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[16] Jacques,When China Rules the World,p.12.
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[17] David C.Kang,“Hierarchy in Asian international relations
:1300-1900,“Asian Security,1/1,2005,pp.53-79.See also Stefan Halper,The Beijing Consensus
:How China’s Authoritarian Model Will Dominate the Twenty-First Century(New York
:Basic Books,2010).
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[18] John Ikenberry,“The rise of China and the future of the West,“Foreign Affairs87/1,January/February2008,pp.23-38.
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[19] Robert Kagan,“What China knows that we don’t
:The case for a new strategy of containment,“The Weekly Standard,January20,1997.Robert Kaplan,Asia’s Cauldron
:The South China Sea and the End of a Stable Pacific(New York
:Random House,2014).
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[20] Steinberg and O’Hanlon,Strategic Reassurance and Resolve,p.20.
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